Norway has a 70.9% chance of advancing in the World Cup. This is shown by a model based on 100,000 simulations.

What does this mean for Norway?

Norway is estimated to have a 1% chance of winning the World Cup. The chance of reaching the World Cup final is 3.6%.

How can Norway reach the World Cup final?

The Goldman Sachs model gives the highest probability that Norway will advance to the round of 16 against Brazil. Norway has a 23.6% chance of beating Brazil in a potential round of 16 match. | Date | Opponent | Location | | --- | --- | --- | | 2026-03-27 | Netherlands | - | | 2026-09-27 | Portugal | Home |

What's next for Norway?

Norway must beat Ivory Coast in the round of 16 on Tuesday to advance. The match will be played in Arlington, Texas and will start at 19.00 Norwegian time. Norway has a good chance of winning this match and advancing in the World Cup